Since 2007, China's express delivery industry has grown from small to large, with a rapid development. In 2017, the national express delivery business exceeded 40 billion pieces, with an average annual growth rate of 42% in ten years. China's express delivery business has ranked first in the world for four consecutive years, and the parcel delivery volume has surpassed the developed economies such as the United States, Japan, and Europe, contributing more than 50% to global growth. China's express delivery market has been advancing by the e-commerce industry, and private enterprises have also achieved listing.
The new trend of small-volume and multi-frequency online shopping will offset the impact of the decline in the growth rate of online shopping transactions. The e-commerce business is still the main driver of business growth in the next three years. Forward-looking Industrial Research Institute predicts that the volume of express delivery will exceed 60 billion in 2019, and will enter a period of steady growth. As the ceiling of the express delivery market approaches, companies are looking for new directions for development. Whether it is technology, end or express, it may become the next growth point.
End distribution into the mainstream development directionAfter the express delivery speed is effectively improved, consumers are increasingly demanding end delivery. In January 2018, the General Office of the State Council issued the first issue of the "Opinions on Promoting the Coordinated Development of E-Commerce and Express Logistics" to clarify the public attributes of smart express boxes and express-end integrated service places for the first time, and encourage the uniform identification of express service vehicles. management. This indicates that the express delivery industry will receive policy support in terms of smart courier boxes, terminal outlets, and end express vehicle access.
Under this policy, SFU uses big data and artificial intelligence to collect and aggregate data, conduct interactive intelligent analysis of data, integrate regional characteristics and layout network resources, realize precise investment of end service outlets, and independently design and develop intelligence. The docking cabinet can realize the asynchronous handover of the dispatching staff and the package of the external Internet transportation resources, and improve the package transit time.
Shentong also made two capital increases for the smart express cabinet Fengchao Technology in 2017. Shentong said that the capital increase of Fengchao Technology will help improve the company's “last mile†delivery efficiency, enhance the delivery force during peak hours, and promote the company. Business development. At the same time, in terms of external technical support, Shentong and the rookie have completed the function development of the rookie end service, the wrap-up, the app system docking, the rookie 3PL system docking, and the work in 9 countries and regions.
In the view of Xu Yong, the chief consultant of China Logistics Express Consulting Network, the terminal distribution market is very large, and it has gradually become the mainstream direction of express delivery enterprise development. Because the business like express delivery cabinet has a large profit space, the private express delivery enterprise will deepen the future. The end sector continues to expand market share, expand service areas, and further improve door-to-door service.
Unmanned technology enhances company added valueIn addition to the terminal delivery service, unmanned business has become a new competition point for express delivery companies. With the continuous improvement of consumption levels, customers' demand for timeliness has risen, and drone delivery can achieve expedited business in the same city logistics, as well as meet the needs of express services in some special scenarios, such as remote mountainous areas, inaccessible areas, and special medical resources. Delivery, etc., to achieve higher efficiency in the logistics of logistics outlets and terminals.
Among them, Yunda revealed in the 2017 annual report that the establishment of “DAV R&D Special Team†covers the research and development, design, testing and application of UAVs. In 2017, SF combines the actual business scenarios and lays out the field of logistics drones. In June 2017, SF also jointly applied for airspace application for the demonstration area of ​​the logistics drone demonstration with Nankang District, Cangzhou City, Jiangxi Province.
Although drones can gradually replace manual delivery, it is still too early to see. Due to relevant factors such as national policies, drones can only operate in remote areas in a short period of time. In addition, the safety of drones remains to be considered. At present, unmanned aircraft has a small load capacity and a short operating mileage. Electromagnetic interference, artificial damage or stormy weather may encounter accidents such as crashes and lost parts. However, if the above difficulties are overcome, the development of unmanned technology in the future will have a lot of space in the logistics industry.
Express as the next growth fulcrumIf terminal distribution and unmanned technology are all contributing to the development of express delivery business, then the express market is the key development direction of logistics companies in recent years. According to the data of the Prospective Industry Research Institute, the volume of road freight in China reached 33.4 billion tons in 2016, and the market scale is about 4.6 trillion yuan. The total market size of LTL and vehicle express is about 4.2 trillion yuan, accounting for as much as About 91%, it is estimated that by 2020, the overall market size of China's LTL Express will reach 1.99 trillion yuan; but at this stage, the concentration of China's express market is more discrete. In 2016, the market share of TOP10 LTL Express accounted for only 3.2%. The US Express TOP10 market share of 74.6% has a huge room for aggressive integration.
However, industry analysts believe that the current competitive landscape of the domestic express market, from the perspective of efficiency and operational effects, the express delivery company will face great challenges in the field of express delivery. At this stage, the express delivery companies entering the express field are operating in similar directions, basically relying on the original In the business, since the top private express delivery has been completed, the current best development model is to invest or control a relatively mature express company to be more competitive. After the market develops steadily, the express will become a courier company. Another pillar.
In short, the main contradiction in the development of China's express delivery industry is still that the service capacity and development level cannot meet the economic and social development and the growing demand for services of the people. As the needs of the masses gradually shift from basic services to high-end refined services, express delivery companies also need to deeply understand user needs and continuously enhance supply capabilities.
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